People are tired of this war. Putin wanted to secure food reserves and have an open access sea port for his military; however he wasn’t honest as to his reasons why; understandably so. Given this the Russian public doesn’t see the actual geopolitical value of the conflict. This was inevitable. If Russia couldn’t play nice with the rest of the world as their money mostly comes from oil and gas; which we are moving away from. Let them pay for their crimes.
Indeed their warning signals were going off; they just chose to ignore them. The true reasons we will never know. Perhaps proof of concept; to defy the authority of regulatory bodies, the thrill of knowing the danger, understanding the world would be watching, or something other going on in their life. They had to means to do basically anything they wanted with their money. They chose to go into a tube and descend to the abyss.
They understood the risks; there is no question in my mind that they didn’t. I think they were bored with what life could offer them with that much money. At a certain point you really can basically experience it all. Instead of going on a tested rocket ship; they gambled the ultimate wager. Their life or bragging rights. Image the tale you could tell coming back from the journey in such a rigged tube; or the publicity of your fatal demise and making a “historical” moment regarding it. The world was watching. Darkly their death reads better than any final service of passing or headstone does.
My father who is Russian has been talking about Wagner turning on Russia for the past 2 months. Dogs of war. So my bingo card has been stamped.