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Cake day: November 7th, 2025

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  • Not sure if I understand what you’re trying to say. My read of this MOU is that the US is pulling the plug. Israel is already overextended in Lebanon, and they for sure can not fight Iran without the backing of the USA.

    And even if they had that backing, interceptors are depleted and radars destroyed. Dimona got hit with a nuclear-capable rocket loaded with sand, a clear message which they know how to interpret. They’ll keep testing the waters with Trump for a bit, but the US will clarify to them that they really aren’t bluffing with this MOU.

    Israel has no right to be butthurt that they didn’t get a seat at the negotiating table. They’re a proxy, not a partner. They are living way beyond their means and that’s coming to an end. Their bluff has been called. Now they need to stfu and do as they are told.




  • People have increasingly challenged the “modest dress” mandates over the past decades, but there used to be a “Guardian Patrol” that would try to enforce modest dress in public spaces. After Mahsa Amini’s death the Guardian Patrol was shut down, and there was a massive increase in women skipping head coverings, in particular in larger cities like Tehran and Esfahan.

    However, skipping modest dress in media is a different matter. It has become laxer, but not by the same extent. The religious leadership is extra sensitive about modesty in music, so I think the context of “singing for men without head covering” is the signal here.

    I’d also mention that there will be a lot of backsliding of these hard-won victories with this war, as ultraconservatives are gaining a lot of power and legitimacy.




  • Fair enough, to a point. But I’d diverge on a few things.

    First, America has essentially all resources on its own soil. There’s no need to fight for them overseas. And yet, America is fighting over resources. The point isn’t to consume these resources domestically, it is to control what’s available to others. You can write that up as normal behavior for a superpower that just has got to do what it’s got to do, but I really don’t think it is. The United States would be safer and more prosperous if it had played its soft power cards for the past 25 years instead of throwing them out and playing cowboy.

    I’d also push back against the idea that America is a good place to live, especially as a consequence of military doctrine. It is true that America’s military doctrine has made it absurdly rich, but honestly, what good is that when it’s almost entirely fiat and nominal? Yes you’re getting some essentially free stuff in exchange for – let’s just call it “patrolling the seas” – from manufacturing countries like Germany and China, but you could manufacture all of that if you had a real economy instead of an economy based on coercion and an inflated military industrial complex.

    Don’t get me wrong, the USA has a lot of wonderful and unique aspects, and it is genuinely the best in several regards. However, would any sane person choose to live in Seattle over Copenhagen? The wealth you have translates to cinderblock and plaster make-believe castles, endless roads so your kids need to wake up early to catch the bus because they can’t walk to school, 300 types of bread at Walmart and nothing is actually edible, lonely dinners at the drive-thru, no access to nature, can’t even collect rainwater on your property in many states.

    My point is that Belgium doesn’t run around bullying the world and it’s a better place to live than the USA. Malaysia doesn’t bully the world, doesn’t have every resource imaginable, and it still has a ton to offer to its citizens. The USA has had a hand in providing security to these places, and that’s a whole different discussion, but you’ve got payment for services rendered and then some, and somehow you’ve squandered that wealth on promoting a few to acquire their own fiefdoms, fucking Natural Teeth Implants and normalizing trucks for daily use.

    Regardless. Hosting the World Cup is not what’s causing your dilapidated infrastructure. It’s a badly optimized system that picks the least efficient way to do things in the name of freedom, all while imposing laws and requirements on citizens that are the opposite of freedom. Now the Iran team is going to the US to play football with “165” written on their jerseys, in memory of the kids that fucking ChatGPT murdered on the orders of Pete Hegseth. The world is never going back to Pax Americana, which means that the tap is closing on free manufactured goods from Germany and China, and I don’t see how building data centers in the desert is going to help you produce your own.