

Moore’s law continuing was due to a ton of different advancements and innovations, not just one. And yes it’s slowing down but it still went for 30+ years. If AI continues to improve at this rate for 30 years, hard to imagine how good it could get.
There’s been a ton of innovation in the space right now. Like MoE, which was only introduced like 2 years ago and now it’s everywhere. It’s hard to say what can happen when you have millions of engineers working on something.




My argument was that the models would get more powerful over time, even when controlling for size and energy usage. I wasn’t talking about waste